Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.123542 0.136232 0.149224 0.163492 0.178692 0.194374 0.211749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.101090 0.119929 0.140171 0.163414 0.189241 0.216938 0.248764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.082531 0.104851 0.129922 0.159867 0.194358 0.232551 0.277743
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.073483 0.098971 0.128680 0.165318 0.208730 0.257997 0.317589
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.065622 0.093317 0.126716 0.169092 0.220554 0.280191 0.353666
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.058608 0.087781 0.124104 0.171405 0.230133 0.299455 0.386237
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052130 0.082159 0.120716 0.172181 0.237395 0.315677 0.415091
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051018 0.083443 0.126009 0.183817 0.258114 0.348329 0.464014
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046649 0.079784 0.124447 0.186344 0.267208 0.366690 0.495662
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043246 0.077134 0.123944 0.190026 0.277629 0.386659 0.529377
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038995 0.072832 0.120825 0.189920 0.282936 0.400103 0.554994
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037832 0.073041 0.123931 0.198209 0.299268 0.427619 0.598436
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036535 0.073125 0.127094 0.207021 0.316983 0.457842 0.646612
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033042 0.069422 0.124545 0.207750 0.323881 0.474281 0.677621
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028720 0.063921 0.118962 0.203876 0.324329 0.482246 0.697841
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027356 0.063295 0.120679 0.210473 0.339186 0.509253 0.742870
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025637 0.061868 0.121027 0.214998 0.351176 0.532563 0.783319
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023695 0.059833 0.120258 0.217759 0.360654 0.552570 0.819606
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021568 0.057217 0.118367 0.218685 0.367451 0.568973 0.851251
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022040 0.059648 0.124818 0.232433 0.392757 0.610663 0.916678
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020504 0.057957 0.124307 0.235414 0.402569 0.631367 0.954430
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019323 0.056858 0.124703 0.239751 0.414352 0.654837 0.996031
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.017515 0.054248 0.122342 0.239627 0.419538 0.669228 1.025545